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摘要以原國(guó)家旅游局“旅行社責(zé)任保險(xiǎn)統(tǒng)保示范項(xiàng)目”中的11115條出境旅游出險(xiǎn)案例為研究對(duì)象，運(yùn)用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)和空間計(jì)量方法，對(duì)中國(guó)出境旅游安全事故時(shí)空分布格局及形成機(jī)制進(jìn)行分析。研究表明：①出境旅游安全事故總體區(qū)域分布呈現(xiàn)出異質(zhì)性和高度凝聚的分布態(tài)勢(shì)。②各類型旅游安全事故具有集中性、差異性的頻次分布特征和空間集聚特征。③各大洲旅游安全事故呈現(xiàn)出逐年擴(kuò)張的發(fā)展態(tài)勢(shì)，事故高發(fā)核心區(qū)聚集性不斷增強(qiáng)，不同區(qū)域的旅游安全事故呈現(xiàn)出差異化的年際變化特征，各州事故季節(jié)波動(dòng)也存在異質(zhì)性，但均出現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)。④旅游安全事故時(shí)空分布格局形成受客源地主體因素和目的地客體因素的共同影響，不同探測(cè)因子的影響力度呈現(xiàn)差異化特征。

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abstract：based on 11115 outbound travel insurance cases in the bbbber national tourism administration's "model project of unified liability insurance for travel agencies", this paper uses lorentz curve, gini coefficient, nearest neighbor index, nubbbbb density estimation, geographic detector and other mathematical statistics and spatial measurement bbbbbbs to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution pattern and bbbbation mechanism of outbound travel safety accidents in china. the results show that: 1)the overall regional distribution of outbound tourism safety accidents in china shows a heterogeneous and highly agglomeration distribution trend. at the inter-continental level, it is mainly concentrated in asia, and at the meso-geographic level, it is highly concentrated in southeast asia and east asia. at the national and tourist destination level, it is mainly concentrated in hong kong, macao, taiwan, thailand, japan, korea, indonesia and the united states. 2)the time series of outbound tourism safety accidents in china is uneven. from the perspective of inter-annual change, the level of inter-annual change of tourism safety accidents in developed areas is relatively small, while the inter-annual change of accidents in emerging tourism markets and cold spots is relatively large. 3)the bbbbation of outbound tourism safety accidents is mainly affected by four major factors. among the main factors of tourist origin, tourism flow is the dominant factor affecting the temporal and spatial distribution of accidents. among the factors of destination bbbbbb, destination risk is the core factor affecting the spatio-temporal distribution of accidents.

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收稿日期:2019-02-26

基金資助:教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究基金項(xiàng)目（19yjazh097）；華僑大學(xué)研究生科研創(chuàng)新基金項(xiàng)目（17013121005）

通訊作者:謝朝武(1975-),男,湖南武岡人,教授,博士生導(dǎo)師,主要研究方向?yàn)槁糜伟踩⒅腔勐糜?。e-mail:xiecwu@126.com。e-mail:xiecwu@126.com

作者簡(jiǎn)介: 黃銳(1993-),男,安徽安慶人,博士研究生,主要研究方向?yàn)槌鼍陈糜伟踩?。e-mail:382216421@qq.com。引用本文:

黃銳, 謝朝武. 中國(guó)出境旅游安全事故時(shí)空分布格局及形成機(jī)制[j]. 人文地理, 2019, 34(6): 120-128. huang rui, xie chao-wu. temporal and spatial distribution patterns and bbbbation mechanism of chinese outbound tourists' safety accidents. human geography, 2019, 34(6): 120-128.

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